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March to Madness: 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament Bracketology, January 31

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NCAA Womens Basketball: South Carolina at Texas Christian
Chris Jones-Imagn Images

The Horned Frogs enter February projected to host in First Round of NCAA Tournament

Horned Frogs Status

  • AP Rank: 9
  • NET Rank: 10
  • Torvik: 12
  • RPI: 16
  • Quad 1: 3-2 | Quad 2: 3-0 | Quad 3: 3-0 | Quad 4: 11-0
  • NET SOS: 61 | Avg. NET Win: 148 | Avg. NET Loss: 14

Bracketologists View of TCU:

As TCU Women’s Basketball continues to make program history, achieving heights never before seen, it sets up for an unprecedented post season. The Horned Frogs have not reached March Madness since 2010, haven’t won a game in the NCAA Tournament since 2006 and have never won multiple tournament games to reach a Sweet 16. TCU has only made the Dance nine times in its history, with its best placement in the bracket coming as a six-seed in 2004. The 2025 squad coached by Mark Campbell and led by All-American candidates Sedona Prince, Hailey Van Lith, and Madison Conner is set to shatter that glass ceiling. While the Frogs continue to hold steady in the Top 10 of the AP Poll and the NCAA NET, TCU has a challenging road trip this week at Iowa State & Kansas State with major Big 12 and national implications. As the calendar flips to February and the regular season reaches its home stretch we’ll be following the national picture as it influences where the Horned Frogs may be headed in the Big Dance and how up the seed list it can climb. Securing a top-four seed is even more critical in the Women’s bracket as seeds get to host First & Second Round games. This season, the Sweet 16 & Elite Eight rounds will be held at in Birmingham, AL and Spokane, WA, with eight teams competing in each regional, before the Final Four & Championship to be held in Tampa, FL. Along with tracking TCU’s progress, we’ll keep an eye for all those other teams competing for those coveted top-4 seeds as the Horned Frogs push to host March Madness in Schollmaier Arena.

Note: All rankings are NET unless otherwise noted

Impact Game of the Week:

#9 LSU Tigers def. #16 Oklahoma Sooners – Raegan Beers was a perfect 8-8 from the field with 20 points for the Sooners, but it wasn’t enough to overcome LSU as Mikaylah Williams went nuclear for the Tigers, scoring 37 points. A one-point game in the final minute in Baton Rouge, LSU escaped and furthered its case as a top-two seed and a title contender. The 2023 National Champions are currently 7th in the DraftKings Sportsbook odds to cut the nets as Champions in April at +2000, one spot ahead of TCU’s +5000.

Climbing:

#23 Florida State Seminoles (↑4) – An insane finish on Sunday in Chapel Hill, the Seminoles pulled off the buzzer beater to upset #15 North Carolina to log its first Quad 1 win of the season. FSU followed up that marquee road win with a NET dream, a 24-point blowout victory on the road, smashing Boston College in Chestnut Hill. A squad that had been floating around the 8-9 game in the Tournament can begin setting its sights higher, especially with four Q1 opportunities remaining down the stretch.

Falling:

#30 Michigan Wolverines (↓7) – A brutal week of games for the Wolverines, getting bludgeoned at home by rival Michigan State by 30 points and following that up with an ugly Q3 loss at #106 Wisconsin to not only fall out of the AP Top 25 but down to 11th in the Big Ten and out of top-four seed consideration ahead of a very challenging series of games. Michigan could find itself approaching the Bubble discussion with another tough week.

Seed Watch:

NET Top 32 results of the week & weekend preview

The Top 32 of the NET Rankings are the teams contending for those 16 precious top-four seeds in the NCAA Tournament. Here we’ll weekly review how these teams performed, boosting their resumes or bursting their bubbles. The Top 10 held firm through the week as there were no major surprises. Of the seven losses suffered from this group, only three were to teams outside of this group, with Michigan State’s home loss to #33 Oregon dropping the Spartans out of the top-16 and Mississippi State’s heart-breaking buzzer-beater loss at Mizzou pushing the Bulldogs outside the top-32.

Look Ahead:

This weekend is packed with major games, including five pitting programs from the Top 16 vs. teams ranked 17-32 looking to make that leap forward. There are solid games all weekend, but the heat really gets turned up on Sunday; with the NFL taking the week off before next week’s Super Bowl, this is a perfect day to be locked in to some elite hoops action.