Finding a value bet amid the injury concerns
A marquee Friday night matchup is on tap as the Phoenix Suns come to Dallas to face the Mavericks. These two teams have a well-documented rivalry over the last few years with the most recent result being a 114-102 win for Phoenix in the season’s first road game. Complicating the revenge proposition for Dallas are the lingering injuries that have decimated the front line. PJ Washington and Dereck Lively remain out and Maxi Kleber has been upgraded to doubtful.
Game Details
Fixture: Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks | NBA 2024-2025
Date and Time: Friday, November 8th, 2024; 6:30 PM CST
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX.
Outcome Odds
- Spread: Dallas -2.5 (-108)
- O/U 232 (-108)
- Mavs ML: -135
Odds up to date as of 2:20 PM CST from DraftKings
My lean on the outcome is a Mavs win with the stars going nuclear. I am not making it a recommended play due to how short-handed the Mavs are in this spot.
Player Props
- Tyus Jones over 7 assists (-120)
- Devin Booker over 26 points (-115)
Jones was one of the best pickups by any team this offseason. His lines in Washington last year were often well over 7 and his integration into the Suns system is progressing a bit more each game.
Devin Booker will do all he can to keep up with Luka in this one. It’s personal. Pay close attention to the minutes where Gafford is off the floor. Booker should thrive without the Mavs rim defenders in place tonight.
Play of the Day
- Luka Doncic over 35 points (+140)
We are getting value here as Phoenix still has no defender to bother Luka Doncic. Given the front-court absences, expect Luka to take as many shots – open or otherwise – as he feels he needs to make this a game in the fourth quarter.